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Is the Prediction Reasonable

Written by Adi Ackerman, Head Teacher

"Is the Prediction Reasonable" is written for 6th Grade (Ages 11-12). If your student is a year younger but already steady on probability, the page still works. You may just need to read the instructions out loud. And if they are older and make predictions never quite stuck, this is a short review rather than busywork.

Popular with 6th Grade teachers · Downloaded 303 times
Is the Prediction Reasonable
Is the Prediction Reasonable

6th grade math worksheet: find the expected number, then circle Yes or No if a prediction is within 2, like 56 reds in 70 picks. Answer key included. Part of our make predictions probability collection.

How do I use this worksheet?

Start with Make Predictions From Probability, where the probability is given in a table. Move to Predict From a Spinner and Predict From Survey Results, then use Is the Prediction Reasonable as a check.

What students will practice

  • Students will multiply a probability by the number of tries to find the expected number.
  • Students will compare a prediction with the expected number.
  • Students will circle Yes when the prediction is within 2 and No when it is not.


Curriculum Links

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FAQ

How do I use this make predictions worksheet?

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Start with Make Predictions From Probability, where the probability is given in a table. Move to Predict From a Spinner and Predict From Survey Results, then use Is the Prediction Reasonable as a check.

What does this worksheet teach?

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Find the expected number, then circle Yes or No if a prediction is within 2, like 56 reds in 70 picks. The directions on the page read: Multiply the probability by the number of tries to find the expected number. Circle Yes if the prediction is within 2 of it, or No if it is not. The page opens with a worked example, and an answer key is included.

Can I use this make predictions worksheet for homeschool or classroom?

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Yes, both. We made it for 6th Grade probability, and the page works the same whether it lands on a kitchen table or a center rotation. At home, most families go through it together and talk the answers out loud, and that talking is where most of the learning happens with make predictions. In class it runs well as independent work while you pull a small group. Print one copy or thirty, whichever the day needs.

How do you make a prediction with probability?

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Multiply the probability by the number of tries. A number cube lands on 6 with a probability of 1/6, so in 60 rolls you would predict 10 sixes.

How do you predict from survey results?

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Write the survey result as a fraction of the students asked, then multiply by the larger group. If 12 of 30 students pick art, predict 12/30 x 700 = 280 of 700 students.

Is a prediction always exact?

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No. A prediction is the expected number, and real results can be a little higher or lower. On Is the Prediction Reasonable, a prediction within 2 of the expected number counts as reasonable.

Do these worksheets have answer keys?

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Yes. All 5 worksheets in this group have answer keys.

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Worksheet Details

Grade6th Grade
SubjectMath
TopicProbability
Pages1 page
DifficultyMedium

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